Digital Revolution Alert

 

Special Issue 4 – October 11, 2001

 

Resources to help you understand the digital future

 

This email alert is offered to you by the Internet Business Unit of Belgacom to help you understand the growing impact of the internet on our economy.

 

For more information, suggestions and comments please contact the editor michel.bauwens@belgacom.be . Pointers to resources are very welcome and you will be credited if you wish so.

 

The content therein does not in any way reflect the official positions of Belgacom, only the selections and interpretations of the editor, based on published sources.

 

PLEASE NOTE that  all links are checked by the editor before sending out the bulletin. If you have problems directly clicking through from the Word document, simply copy and paste the URL directly to your browser.

 

This is the third special issue dedicated to the manifold implications of the September 11 events.

 

 

Content

 

'THE FIRST NETWORKED WAR'...................................................................................................................... 3

·       Networks, Netwar and the fight for the future......................................................... 3

·       Without Warning: the history of asymmetric threat............................................. 3

·       Towards a 'Revolution in Military Affairs..................................................................... 3

·       The third western war in context......................................................................................... 4

·       War crises and governmental power.................................................................................. 4

·       Diplomacy in the Information Age......................................................................................... 4

THE INTERNET AS A TOOL................................................................................................................................ 5

·       The internet in times of crisis: how robust was it?.................................................... 5

·       Online Donations drives have been very successfull................................................ 5

·       Original coverage by online media........................................................................................ 5

·       How Google coped.............................................................................................................................. 6

IMPACT OF (ON) THE NETWORKED SOCIETY............................................................................................ 6

·       Cyberterrorism and the threat to corporations....................................................... 6

·       Copycat Terrorism: the danger of contagion................................................................ 6

·       Adjusting the scale of the deed to the scale of the media................................... 7

·       The Internet and the technological superiority of the West............................. 7

THE ECONOMIC IMPACT.................................................................................................................................... 8

·       Business Week Special Report on the future of the tech sector......................... 8

·       A different kind of wartime economy................................................................................. 8

·       The danger of the Hawala network.................................................................................... 8

OTHER TECHNOLOGIES..................................................................................................................................... 9

·       Not only bioterrorism, but genomic  pathogens are the real danger........... 9

·       Intelligence Analysis software to predict future attacks............................... 9

·       Detecting Terrorist Intention through 'brain scanning'........................................ 9

RESOURCES.......................................................................................................................................................... 10

·       Information Sources..................................................................................................................... 10

 

 

 

'THE FIRST NETWORKED WAR'

 

 

For even more coverage on issues related to 'information war', see the compilation at the bottom of the newsletter.

 

 

·        Networks, Netwar and the fight for the future

http://firstmonday.org/issues/issue6_10/ronfeldt/index.html

 

" Netwar is an emerging mode of conflict in which the protagonists - ranging from terrorist and criminal organisations on the dark side, to militant social activists on the bright side - use network forms of organisation, doctrine, strategy, and technology attuned to the information age. The practice of Netwar is well ahead of theory, as both civil and uncivil society actors are increasingly engaging in this new way of fighting. We suggest how the theory of Netwar may be improved by drawing on academic perspectives on networks, especially those about organisational network analysis."

 

 

 

Book: Networks and Netwars: The Future of Terror, Crime, and Militancy RAND, 2001

 

 

 

·        Without Warning: the history of asymmetric threat

http://faculty.washington.edu/modelski/warning.html

 

Review of  a book, which reviews attacks by unexpected challengers in world history. More than one world power completely underestimated threats of that kind, though in the end always defeated them.

 

Book: Mikhail Alexseev WITHOUT WARNING: Threat Assessment, Intelligence, and Global Struggle (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1997

 

 

 

 

·        Towards a 'Revolution in Military Affairs

http://www.comw.org/rma/index.html

 

This gateway to full-text online resources about the revolution in military affairs, information war, and asymmetric warfare contains a special section on Terrorism and Counter-terrorism, but had not been updated yet after the events.

 

See also this site with 'homeland security' documentation, http://stinet.dtic.mil/dticrev/vol5-number4.html

 

 

Book: Mary Kaldor, New and Old Wars: Organized Violence in a Global Era, Cambridge: Polity, 1999

 

 

 

 

·        The third western war in context

http://www.theglobalsite.ac.uk/press/109shaw.htm

 

Very interesting analysis of this new type of war we're embarking on, set in the context of the 'two previous western wars' of the post-Cold War era (Iraq, Kosovo). Highly recommended reading!

 

Martin Shaw's analysis is based on the following analysis of the world situation:

 

"Arguments about the nature of state power in the current period.

These can be summarised in the following points:

  1. The dominant form of state is an internationalised Western-global conglomerate of state power, within which US 'hegemony' is mediated not only by its core alliances with Western Europe and Japan, but also by the role of the 'global layer' of state institutions in legitimating Western power.
  2. State power outside the West remains largely semi-authoritarian and quasi-imperial, and so beset by conflicts over democracy and national rights. The most acute political conflicts of the global era are as a result of these contradictions in the relations of non-western state power to society.

 Arguments about the nature of political movements and political conflict.

  1. The dominant form is a globalized democratic revolution that has challenged authoritarian power, from central Europe in 1989 to South Africa, South Korea and Indonesia in the 1990s.
  2. In the context of democratic change, secessionist national movements challenge the quasi-imperial character of many states. Many of the most acute conflicts, which reach the stage of war, are provoked by counterrevolutionary violence by quasi-imperial states; this often takes genocidal forms.

3 Arguments about the nature of war and genocide in the current period.

  1. Modern war is characteristically degenerate war in the sense of involving systematic violence against civilians, and the degeneration is rooted in the histories of both total war and guerrilla war (militarised revolution).
  2. Genocide is a form of war directed against civilian groups or populations, and occurs in the context of war and/or highly militarised regimes. In 'new wars' (Kaldor 1999, Duffield 2001) degenerate war and genocide are closely linked.

 

 

 

·        War crises and governmental power

http://reason.com/ml/ml092001.html

 

An interview with historian Robert Higgs, author of the book 'Crisis and Leviathan', about how each war crisis has helped the growth of governmental power.

 

 

Book: Crisis and Leviathan : Critical Episodes in the Growth of American Government (A Pacific Research Institute for Public Policy Book) . by Robert Higgs

 

 

·        Diplomacy in the Information Age

http://www.cisp.org/imp/july_2001/07_01contents.htm

 

 The 'Revolution in Military Affairs' finds a parallel in the world of diplomacy, which faces just as important adaptation challenges in the Information Age. A special issue of 'Information Impacts' magazine, which starts from the current situation but also, develops an ideal vision for the diplomacy of 2015.

 

 

 

 

THE INTERNET AS A TOOL

 

 

 

" Soon after the tragedy, many who had escaped the World Trade Centre sought to reach family, friends, or colleagues by telephone. A major Verizon switching centre had been destroyed, and long distance lines were saturated. Cell lines also were quickly saturated, so many people desperate to reach loved ones used the text-mode messaging features of their cell phones to communicate with outsiders. For many, this may have been the first practical use of text-mode instant messaging on a telephone. New Yorkers and those living in the D.C. area with cable modem, DSL, or direct Internet access in the workplace were able to send e-mail to others inside and outside the New York area. Some who could not get a long distance line were able to dial a local ISP to get the word out. Others used the venerable text mode chat tool known as Internet Relay Chat (IRC) to get the word out about their condition in particular and the news in general. As the various media sites became overloaded, some informal mirror sites sprang up, with individuals building their own caches of news stories and photographs. Other individuals sent emails with "deep links" to particular pieces of important content on media sites, so that their correspondents would not have to wend their way through slow-painting menu pages." (source: see the Google article listed below)

 

 

·        The internet in times of crisis: how robust was it?

http://www.fing.org/index.php?num=1996,2

 

A French-language review of several articles which appeared just after the event, analysing the use of the internet, as well as it robustness and weakness as a network.

 

More info also here: http://www.fing.org/index.php?num=1990,2

 

 

 

·        Online Donations drives have been very successful

http://www.wired.com/news/ebiz/0,1272,46876,00.html

 

The coming of age of the internet as a fundraising took was proven after the solidarity drives for Ground Zero victims.

 

 

 

·        Original coverage by online media

http://63.208.24.134/terrorism/steve2.htm

 

This column by Steve Outing focuses on the innovative ways that online media have used to cover the events.

 

Tips for online journalists: http://63.208.24.134/Terrorism/Steve1.htm; some of the best examples of coverage, http://63.208.24.134/terrorism/outing/steve3a.htm ; on video streaming experiments, http://news.cnet.com/news/0-1005-200-7230430.html ; the Harris poll on comparative media usage, http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/011005/50147_1.html

 

 

 

 

·        How Google coped

http://firstmonday.org/issues/issue6_10/wiggins/

 

Very interesting analysis of how the leading search engine coped with the increased public demand after the crisis.

 

More info: the Google reference page to monitor  Ground Zero items: http://www.google.com/currentevents/

 

 

 

·        The Update File

 

-          Communication networks were set up  with extreme rapidity

 

A review of the crisis communications  set up by telecoms, FEMA, and the Red Cross, very soon after the catastrophe everything was in working order.

 

URL = http://www.infoworld.com/articles/hn/xml/01/09/21/010921hnemergserve.xml

 

 

 

 

 

IMPACT OF (ON) THE NETWORKED SOCIETY

 

 

 

 

·        Cyberterrorism and the threat to corporations

http://www.terrorism.com/documents/iw-privatrisk.pdf

 

Australian document on how companies can assess the new threats. Good reading for IT managers and those responsible for security, and for general managers wanting an overview.

 

More info on the topic at the website of the Institute for the Advanced Study of Information Warfare, http://www.psycom.net/iwar.1.html

 

 

 

·        Copycat Terrorism: the danger of contagion

http://www.cpm.mmu.ac.uk/jom-emit/2001/vol5/marsden_p.html

 

From the "Journal of Memetics", a warning on the diffusion of examples. Memetics is the science of the diffusion of ideas.

 

 

 

·        Adjusting the scale of the deed to the scale of the media

http://reason.com/hod/cf091101.html

 

Thoughtpiece on the reasoning behind the attacks: 'the terrorism of the deed' had been become largely ineffectual through the increasingly short memory spans induced by the speed of modern media.  This action was designed to overcome this: "it represents an adjustment of the scale of potential terror to the scope of available media."

 

 

 

·        The Internet and the technological superiority of the West

http://www.arts.uwa.edu.au/MotsPluriels/MP1801kg.html

 

This is a very interesting French-language review of a book by Edouard Glissant, a 'leading postcolonial intellectual' who has written a treatise examining how the internet strengthens or weakens the domination of the First World over the Third World. In other words: how does it function as a tool for power. This is of course relevant as both sides use networked technology as an important tool in their arsenal.

 

More info: http://www.arts.uwa.edu.au/MotsPluriels/MP.html ; http://www.media-culture.org.au/reviews/features/politics/politics.html

 

 

Book: Traité du tout-monde. By Edouard Glissant. 1997

 

 

 

·        The Update File

 

-          Inside Pakistan

 

We do not usually publish regular reporting in this specialised newsletter, but this Dutch-language account of a trip in Pakistan to study the Islamic radical culture, is very well done.

 

URL = http://www.wereldwijd.be/magazine/pakistan.htm

 

 

-          Internet Rights and Civil Liberties Monitor

 

Surveys the impact of the recent events on democratic rights.

 

URL = http://www.apc.org/english/rights/newsmonitor/index.shtml

 

 

 

THE ECONOMIC IMPACT

 

 

 

 

·        Business Week Special Report on the future of the tech sector

http://www.businessweek.com/technology/tc_special/rethink_tech.htm?c=bwtechoct05&n=link20&t=email

 

Several articles discuss the future of the tech sector (which will be 'leaner and meaner', the telecoms (in the doldrums for a long time to come), and the security sector, which will benefit, as it gears for a 'battle ready' internet.

 

 

 

·        A different kind of wartime economy

http://www.nytimes.com/2001/10/09/business/09ECON.html

 

"Given the nature of this new conflict with terrorism, the economy is not likely to be revived by the developments that fuelled previous wartime booms, like surging orders for tanks and airplays or demand for workers to replace those who go off to fight."

 

 

 

 

·        The danger of the Hawala network

http://www.tnr.com/101501/cottle101501.html

 

While the international coalition focuses on the 'formal' financial system, the Islamic terrorist movements have been using a centuries old informal network of money transfers: the Hawala network.

 

 

 

·        The Update File

 

-          Publishers wonder what to publish after September 11

 

URL = http://www.nytimes.com/2001/10/01/business/media/01BOOK.html?rd=hcmcp?p=04139j0413BR44Tn5012000mD2TgD2XZ

 

-          Tax cuts vs. increased anti-terrorism spending as means to revive economy: which is best strategy?

 

URL = http://www.tax.org/Communications/SullivanAntiterrorism.htm

 

 

 

OTHER TECHNOLOGIES

 

 

 

·        Not only bioterrorism, but genomic pathogens are the real danger

http://www.lemonde.fr/article/0,5987,3232--229130-,00.html

 

An opinion piece by biotechnology critic Jeremy Rifkin, who warns of the danger inherent in further developing genomics, hence putting terrible new weapons in the hands of those with ill intent.

 

 

 

·        Intelligence Analysis software to predict future attacks

http://www.newscientist.com/news/news.jsp?id=ns99991368

 

Karnac of Applied Systems Intelligence claims to be able to predict future terrorist attacks, provided government databases share their intelligence.

 

More info: http://www.asinc.com/

 

 

 

·        Detecting Terrorist Intention through 'brain scanning'

http://www.brainwavescience.com/FBIRPT4.htm

 

No, this is no science fiction: based on the cognitive work of Lawrence Farwell it has been established that the brains of trained people react differently when shown certain pictures related to their training. An experiment with FBI agents (above) was 100% successful.

 

More info on 'brain fingerprinting', at http://www.brainwavescience.com/index.html ; a case study at http://www.brainwavescience.com/harrington.htm

 

 

 

·        The Update File

 

-          Introducing a 'safe mode automatic pilot' in planes would make hijackings impossible,

 

URL = http://www.zdnet.com/anchordesk/stories/story/0,10738,2812283,00.html

 

 

-          Terrorists and steganography

 

URL = http://www.zdnet.com/zdnn/stories/comment/0,5859,2814256,00.html

 

 

-          Crypto-gram special issue on September 11

 

Newsletter read by security experts, hackers, and civil libertarians concerned with a loss of privacy, it focuses on such issues as cryptography, biometrics, and privacy.

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